More on the Gallup Poll
Just to continue our discussion on why the Gallup Poll now officially a laughingstock From Pandagon, Jesse talks about the huge voter swing to R in the last few months:
Other than that, the average advantage for Republicans has been 4.3 points over the course of Gallup's 21 polls, with only three showing any advantage for Democrats whatsoever. But what's most interesting is that prior to the Democratic convention (early July), affiliation was even - 38/38. And then, all of a sudden, about a week before the convention, affiliation jumped six percent in favor of Republicans...and has never gone any lower than that. The shifts in voter sentiment ping-pong too wildly, and too consistently in favor of Republicans, for the results to actually make sense. If Gallup is measuring what it says it's measuring, I'm truly interested in hearing why they think that there's been a massive voter shift in the population since July 11th.
Our thoughts exactly.
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This is the permanent home of More on the Gallup Poll. I wrote this post at 11:30 on September 29, 2004. This post is part of grubbykid.com, a weblog. If you liked this entry, why don't you read some other posts such as Bush Would Use Power of Persuasion to Raise Oil Supply or 30 Sept 2004 Presidential Debate? Or you could go to the site archives or return home. All are good choices.
